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Markets are awaiting policy testimony from U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke later today.

 

“It will be interesting to see whether the weak payroll number for June and yesterday’s disappointing retails sales data have caused Bernanke to turn more dovish. Our economists still expect another round of quantitative easing before the end of the year,” http://www.marketwatch.com/story/europe-stocks-rise-ahead-of-bernanke-testimony-2012-07-17-4103036

 

 

 

Jeg for min del tror nok det er litt tidlig for mer QE ennå....tallene har langt fra vært så dårlige som det man hadde i 2008 - 2009

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Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke sketched out for members of Congress on Tuesday the weaker economic outlook and stressed that the central bank was prepared to take further action to try to give the recovery a jolt.

 

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/job-gains-to-be-frustratingly-slow-bernanke-says-2012-07-17?dist=lbeforebell

 

...Bernanke foreløbig på vent...

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Nok en gang , samme spørsmålet....kommer QE3 i kveld da....??

mellow.png ....selv synes jeg ikke tallene vi har sett siste månedene har vært i nærheten av dårlige nok til at det krever noe så drastisk. Men mulig jeg tar feil, gjør jo ofte det så......mulig jeg burde gå long , all-in..... rolleyes.gif

 

http://e24.no/makro-og-politikk/politisk-stillingskrig-skaper-troebbel-for-bernanke/20269508

Vil USA sentralbanksjef fredag drysse milliarder over finansmarkedene?

......Neppe, mener norske økonomer E24 har snakket med.

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Shocking stat: Apple is worth more than all listed companies in Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain. Combined!

 

.....det får meg til å spørre meg om det virkelig kan være sånn, eller er Apple overrated.....

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The Federal Reserve, worried that improvement in the unemployment rate has stalled, announced a third round of bond purchases on Thursday in an effort to bring down long-term interest rates and spur economic growth.

 

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/fed-to-launch-qe3-by-buying-mortgage-securities-2012-09-13?dist=lbeforebell

 

 

 

.....så er den her da, QE3 som så lenge har blitt etterspurt.....

 

Det slår meg litt at det må ha vært noen som har visst at denne kom til å komme .... derfor denne oppturen i sommer på tross av rottne macro og alt annet...

 

Hvor lenge klarer QE3 å holde liv i rallyet da, det er 100 000 kroners spørsmålet. wink.png

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WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - The U.S. economy grew 2.0% in the third quarter, fueled by higher consumer and government spending and more home building, according to a preliminary government estimate. Economists surveyed by MarketWatch projected gross domestic product would rise to 1.7% from 1.3% in the second quarter. Consumer spending, which has the biggest impact on GDP, rose 2.0% in the July-to-September period, compared to 1.5% in the second quarter. Real final sales of U.S.-made goods and services advanced 2.1%, compared to 1.7% in the prior three-month period. Government spending jumped 3.7%, the biggest increase since mid-2009, mainly because of higher defense outlays. Also, investment in housing surged 14.4%. Net imports, which subtract from GDP, fell 0.2%. Exports dropped a sharper 1.6%. Business investment outside the residential sector fell 1.3%, the biggest drop since late 2009. Inflation as measured by the consumer PCE index rose 1.8%, or 1.3% excluding food and energy. Disposable income moved up 2.6%, but that was down from a 3.8% increase in the second quarter. The personal savings rate fell to 3.7% from 4.0%

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— Leading U.S. stock exchanges said late Sunday that they will close for both floor and electronic trading Monday and possibly beyond, as a safety measure because of Hurricane Sandy, a monster storm expected to hit New York City early in the week.

 

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/hurricane-october-jobs-data-in-spotlight-2012-10-27?dist=lbeforebell

 

...bare for å informere....

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Der er nu kun en uge til valget i USA. Foreløbig fører Mitt Romney i meningsmålingerne. Men spillet om Kongressens to kamre, Senatet og Repræsentanternes Hus bliver lige så afgørende for amerikansk økonomi

http://borsen.dk/nyheder/usavalg/artikel/1/244562/usa-valg_kan_vaelte_oekonomien.html

 

...når det gjelder valget i USA så er det noe som forundrer meg litt. Romney får det til å virke som om ting kommer virkelig til å endre seg med han ved roret. Det virker også som han har blitt finansfolkenes yndling, men han er den som sier at det kommer til å bli full stopp på det at landet skal låne penger fra Kina til ting som ikke er absolutt nødvendig.

For meg høres det ut som det da kommer til å bli rimelig mye innsparinger der borte.

 

...litt off topic kanskje men men...

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The markets are flushing dramatically today. The Dow, S&P 500 and NASDAQ are all down 2.3% on the day. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY) is trading at $139.80, -3.13 (-2.19%). The Dow Jones Industrial Average is having its biggest point decline in almost a year. All this coming on the day following the Presidential Elections where President Obama won a second term.

 

So why are the markets getting crushed? After all, polls favored Obama to win. This is not a huge shock to Wall Street.

 

There are multiple factors here. First, Wall Street is sending a harsh signal to the President. Ultimately, taxing the rich is on the table and likely to happen. In addition, short term capital gains and taxes on dividends are likely to go higher. This is a 'shot across the bow' from Wall Street, flexing their muscle and warning the President.

 

In addition, there is no longer an election to distract Wall Street from the Fiscal Cliff that lies right in front of America. The President has not been a friend to the Republicans and there is a major fear that no agreement on handling the Fiscal Cliff will be reached. This could cause a major market decline and a recession. Investors are running for cover on this fear.

 

Next, Europe seemed to be under a secret gag order into the elections. Did you notice how almost nothing emerged from Europe over the last few months? It is not a coincidence that Draghi, the head of the ECB emerged today and gave the world a reality check on how bad Europe is doing.

 

Lastly, Obama no longer has a need to keep a pretty image. He does not need the stock market to head higher so he can be re elected again. At this stage, less will be done to prop the markets up going forward.

 

This is going to be a wild time in the markets. There will be major ups and downs and swing traders will profit the most. As usual, long term investors will lose the most. Come join InTheMoneyStocks and get swing trade alerts, proprietary market analysis tools and daily videos/market reports. Learn from the pros to profit in any type of market.

 

Related: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSEARCA:DIA), PowerShares QQQ Trust, Series 1 (ETF) (NASDAQ:QQQ), International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE:IBM), Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL).

 

Gareth Soloway

Chief Market Strategist

www.InTheMoneyStocks.com

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Ideen om 'trillion-dollar-coin' kan vel trygt sies å være noe utenom det vanlige , vet ikke om dere har hørt om den men her er ihvertfall litt om saken....

 

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/treasury-fed-put-kibosh-on-1-trillion-coin-2013-01-12?link=MW_story_popular

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) The U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve said Saturday that they wouldnt pursue a plan to mint a $1 trillion dollar coin as a means of dealing with the federal debt ceiling.

 

http://finance.fortune.cnn.com/2013/01/11/el-erian-platinum-coin/?iid=HP_LN

The unusual move of minting a large platinum coin might shock politicians into cleaning up the fiscal mess. But the rest of the world may see it as inflationary.

By Mohamed El-Erian

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http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2013/2013-7.htm

 

Washington, D.C., Jan. 22, 2013 — The Securities and Exchange Commission today announced that Egan-Jones Ratings Company (EJR) and its president Sean Egan have agreed to settle charges that they made willful and material misstatements and omissions when registering with the SEC to become a Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization (NRSRO) for asset-backed securities and government securities.

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greed.fear.png

 

 

The CNN Greed & Fear Index is one of the best signals I have seen. I have followed it for some time and anytime it gets above 90 to Extreme Greed, a sell off or pull back occurs within one week. This has even been the case in a market manipulated by low interest rates and Federal Reserve massive printing of money. The Greed Index today just jumped over the 90 level, settling at 91. This to me signals a possible reversal in the coming days. Note the chart below.

 

 

http://inter-market-analysis.com/

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