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sharpshoota

Gullprisen fremover....

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http://money.cnn.com/2012/05/14/markets/thebuzz/index.htm?iid=Lead

 

(CNNMoney) -- So much for gold being a safe investment in times of market volatility.

The yellow metal has pulled back sharply in the past month and a half on Europe fears -- just like stocks. At about $1,560 an ounce, gold is 13% below its 2012 high of near $1,800 back in March. Gold prices are now down slightly year-to-date

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Sjekker man weekly gold chart så synes jeg det ser ut til at vi har en triangel fra mai i fjor og nå er vi nede på støtten igjen.

 

prøver en liten long i gull, synes minifutures er fin til dette. såpass høy giring at man trenger bare bruke et lite beløp, dermed taper man heller aldri mer enn dette lille beløpet. wink.png

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Tror det er ganske sannsynlig at støtten vi er på nå ryker ...når jeg sier det er det fordi det ser ut til at USD skal opp,... gull og USD korrelerer sjelden. sjekker man DXY (USD index) weekly charts finner man en omvendt HS som tyder på videre opptur der...

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Gold has certainly been on a tear to the upside recently. The SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) have rallied by more than $10.00 since May 21, 2012 when the GLD traded as low $148.84 a share. Today, the popular GLD is trading over $162.00 a share. Traders and investors are now anticipating that gold is ready to break out to new highs as the central banks jawbone about another quantitative easing or easy money policy program. Well, not so fast, inflation is soaring already in many parts of the world and the central bankers that control monetary policy may have to wait before acting again. If that happens gold and silver could be in store for another decline soon. On the flip side, if the central bankers of the world put the pedal to metal and dilute the major currencies around the world gold might just go to moon.

 

Personally, I believe that they will have to wait before implementing more easy money policies. First of all, corn and soybeans have really jumped this summer due to the drought in the Mid-West United States. Gasoline and oil prices have surged higher over the past six weeks. These are goods that are used by consumers. All of these price hikes force the consumer to curb their spending and this has a negative effect on any recovery that may be underway. The central banks know this.

 

Here is another important reason why the central bankers are not going to be so eager to cause inflation, there is very little short selling interest in the marketplace at this time. The central bankers have learned over the years that if they want to get the most bang for their money they need to cause a short squeeze in the market. The lack of short selling tells us that any new quantitative easing or stimulus program would not have the same effect as it has in the past. The central bankers know this and will most likely wait for a slowdown of some sorts to occur. Remember, “The Bernank” is the same guy who lowered the discount window rate on an options expiration Friday in 2008. This guy is not a dummy and he knows how the game is played.

 

Traders that are not in the long gold trade should not chase this trade right now. The best move is to wait until another major dip occurs in the stock market. Remember, we don't trade stocks anymore we trade inflation creation by the central banks. Watch for that buy signal in gold later in the year when the central banks are more likely to act.

 

Some ways to play gold are through trading vehicles such as Sprott Physical Gold Trust

(PHYS), iShares Gold Trust (ETF) (IAU), and the Deutsche Bank AG DB Gold Double Long ETN (DGP).

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http://www.marketwatch.com/story/gold-to-stocks-be-careful-2013-02-06

 

 

Gold to stocks: Be careful

 

 

"....Gold tends to outperform stocks during risk-off correction periods, as money on the margin favors less volatile assets during deflation scares. The trend has unequivocally been down as stocks have performed considerably better than gold, and I suspect that broader trend lower will continue. However, in recent days, gold appears to be stabilizing....."

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følger en wedge/triangel i gull 1-timeschartet..... toppen var 21.mars . får se om vi ser et brudd snart.

på plattformen jeg bruker heter forresten gull xau/usd , er en CFD på gullprisen mot usd.

 

...finnes flere sånne, f.eks : xpt = platinum , xpd = palladium , xag = sølv .... ....men omsetningen i flere av disse er ikke all verden så det blir litt som pennystocks...svingningene blir store og enda mindre forutsigbare....

..........just my 2 ticks.... wink.png

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