min lille swing breakout journal

[sharpshoota]

 

...prøver en long i usd/chf her...FTB etter en dobbel-bunn...

[sharpshoota]

tok en foreløbig gevinst her....vil se litt hva som skjer her rundt motstanden...

 

[sharpshoota]

Denne ukens resultater....

 

greit denne uka også....venter endel tapere snart....

[sharpshoota]

Har klippet ut kurven min sålangt fra myfxbook.com .

Begynner faktisk å gå rette veien ....til tross for at jeg bare har 36 % vinnere hittil fra 13. august... Er jo endel bedre enn da jeg tradet candlesticks ihvertfall, men hadde jeg ikke hadd Risk/Reward på 1/2 så hadde den kurven gått nedover istedet.

 

[sharpshoota]

Bevares for ei møkkauke....nesten bare tapere.. Får tro den neste blir bedre.

 

 

[sharpshoota]

mildt sagt utfordrende denne uka også.... Net P/L - 68

 

prøvde meg på en false breakout trade (FB) short i D1 usd/cad som gikk ganske så gærnt...tapte 105 bare der , så tror nok det hadde klart seg med halve størrelsen på posisjonen. brukte samme metoden for entry short i eur/jpy og der funket det bra.

[sharpshoota]

Bilde fra eur/jpy traden.... man ser tydelig den falske breakout chandlesticken..

 

[sharpshoota]

 

Short nå i usd/chf , fin FTB i D1 her...

[sharpshoota]

Ble stoppet ut med 2 pips der før den snudde ned igjen. Ville blitt en vinner. Skjer av og til, heldigvis ikke altfor ofte.

[sharpshoota]

å shorte denne HS'en i nzd/usd funket greit. entret etter FB der den grønne pila peker.

 

[sharpshoota]

 

Bommet saftig da jeg prøvde på long eur/usd her....men etter å ha subbet nedpå trendlinja så mange ganger var det jo bare dumt av meg.

[sharpshoota]

 

...gikk litt over stokk og stein forrige uke.... eur/usd traden var med på å dra det hele ned pluss at jeg bommet på trades i D1 timeframe, større SL der.

Får se hva denne uka bringer da.

[sharpshoota]

 

...dårlig forrige uke også. eur/gbp traden var jo i D1 og da svir det.

Skal prøve meg litt på pivot points i uka som kommer. Fikk med meg to webinar om dette iløpet av helga. Noe må jeg jo foreta meg for å få mer stabile resultater fremover. Må bli flinkere til å tilpasse lot-size til til størrelse på SL i pips.

 

...og en ting til...må ikke babysitt'e tradene. La oddsene avgjøre. Så slipper men at man kutter vinnerne og lar taperne gå helt til SL -> en megafeil når man trader...!

[sharpshoota]

"Bli best - med mentaltrening"

http://www.bokkilden.no/SamboWeb/produkt.do?produktId=6890025&rom=MP

 

Holder på med den nå og den gir veldig mye matnyttige inputs.

[sharpshoota]

bra trøkk i gbp/usd denne uka....prøvde med en short nær R3 men den bare fortsatte videre opp. ut på SL

[sharpshoota]

 

Godt fornøyd med resultatene denne uka. Valgte å bruke mindre lot size siden det har vært mye motgang i det siste.

 

God helg.

[sharpshoota]

Heldig med denne...

 

falskt brudd ned til forrige støtte, den den krøp tilbake til pivot'en tok jeg sjansen på å gå long.

Synes ofte det hjelper hvis jeg går opp til H4 og bruker fibonaci, ofte havner de i nærheten av

pivot-levels.

 

Har begynt å innse at periodene med tap er noe man ikke kan styre unna. De kommer med jevne mellomrom. Det er dette som tar kverken på de fleste aspirerende traderne. De mister troen på seg selv og metoden de bruker. Kun de med en vannvittig drive kommer videre forbi dette stadiet.

De fleste bytter metode eller har for mye giring slik at de mister mesteparten av kapitalen.

[sharpshoota]

 

uka som gikk.....sterkt preget av overtrading. Veldig fort gjort hvis man skal gå bare etter pivot-points.

 

Skal prøve å snu litt på det i uka som kommer.

 

[sharpshoota]

 

....ble ikke pluss denne uka heller....masse små tapere..

ikke alltid så lett å avgøre om man er i range eller en stor trend. Hadde to tapere i dag pga for thight SL...sånt skjer.

[sharpshoota]

Gode tips her:

http://fitnessbloggen.no/6-essensielle-punkter-du-skal-oppna-drommelivet-ditt/

 

Ønsker du å bli Norges eller verdens beste i en idrett? Kanskje du vil oppnå stor suksess i forretningslivet, eller på hjemmefronten. Samme hva det skulle være. Hvis du sikter høyt, så er dette seks punkter som du må sørge for å ha på plass skal du leve livet ditt til det fulle.

 

 

...viktig å huske at det er viktig med både fysisk trening og et bra kosthold for å nå sitt fulle potensiale....også når det gjelder trading.

[sharpshoota]

Et par tanker når det gjelder det med å ta for tidlig gevinst....

 

før man tar en posisjon er man i komfortsonen....ingen følelser som river og sliter i hodet. Bare kjedsomhet og lysten på action.

Så fort man sitter i en trade med enten tap eller gevinst er man plutselig ute av denne komfortable sonen...man begynner å klø etter å komme tilbake til komforten, enten ved å ta tidlig gevinst eller kutte taperen før SL.

 

Det er da det er viktig med utholdenhet, det er her taperne gir opp. Man må veldig ofte ut av komfortsonen for å oppnå gode resultater i trading. Akkurat som toppidrettsutøverne som Må ut å trene beinhardt hver morgen for å bli best , uansett hvor ubehagelig det føles. De vet at konkurrentene deres trener minst like hardt akkurat da for å bli best, eneste måten å slå de på er ved å trene hardere.

Uansett hvor fornøyd man er med forrige vinner eller hvor tungt det var med de 4 siste som gikk ut på SL så er man nødt til å legge det bak seg og kjempe videre.

[sharpshoota]

 

Dårlig inngang her...det svir....

[sharpshoota]

...

 

Dårlig inngang her...det svir....

Ut på SL....ikke noen bombe det akkurat.

[sharpshoota]

Dette er gull, vel verdt å lese og tenke litt over :

 

The 5 Steps to becoming a trader

Step One: Unconscious Incompetence.

This is the first step you take when starting to look into trading. you know that its a good way of making money because you've heard so many things about it and heard of so many millionaires. Unfortunately, just like when you first desire to drive a car you think it will be easy - after all, how hard can it be? Price either moves up or down - what's the big secret to that then - lets get cracking!

Unfortunately, just as when you first take your place in front of a steering wheel you find very quickly that you haven't got the first clue about what you're trying to do. You take lots of trades and lots of risks. When you enter a trade it turns against you so you reverse and it turns again .. and again, and again.


You may have initial success, and thats even worse - cos it tells your brain that this really is simple and you start to risk more money.


You try to turn around your losses by doubling up every time you trade. Sometimes you'll get away with it but more often than not you will come away scathed and bruised You are totally oblivious to your incompetence at trading.

This step can last for a week or two of trading but the market is usually swift and you move onth the next stage.

Step Two - Conscious Incompetence

Step two is where you realise that there is more work involved in trading and that you might actually have to work a few things out. You consciously realise that you are an incompetent trader - you don't have the skills or the insight to turn a regular profit.

You now set about buying systems and e-books galore, read websites based everywhere from USA to the Ukraine. and begin your search for the holy grail. During this time you will be a system nomad - you will flick from method to method day by day and week by week never sticking with one long enough to actually see if it does work. Every time you come upon a new indicator you'll be ecstatic that this is the one that will make all the difference.

You will test out automated systems on Metatrader, you'll play with moving averages, Fibonacci lines, support & resistance, Pivots, Fractals, Divergence, DMI, ADX, and a hundred other things all in the vein hope that your 'magic system' starts today. You'll be a top and bottom picker, trying to find the exact point of reversal with your indicators and you'll find yourself chasing losing trades and even adding to them because you are so sure you are right.

You'll go into the live chat room and see other traders making pips and you want to know why it's not you - you'll ask a million questions, some of which are so dumb that looking back you feel a bit silly. You'll then reach the point where you think all the ones who are calling pips after pips are liars - they cant be making that amount because you've studied and you don't make that, you know as much as they do and they must be lying. But they're in there day after day and their account just grows whilst yours falls.

You will be like a teenager - the traders that make money will freely give you advice but you're stubborn and think that you know best - you take no notice and overtrade your account even though everyone says you are mad to - but you know better. You'll consider following the calls that others make but even then it wont work so you try paying for signals from someone else - they don't work for you either.


You might even approach a 'guru' like Rob Booker or someone on a chat board who promises to make you into a trader(usually for a fee of course). Whether the guru is good or not you wont win because there is no replacement for screen time and you still think you know best.


This step can last ages and ages - in fact in reality talking with other traders as well as personal experience confirms that it can easily last well over a year and more nearer 3 years. This is also the step when you are most likely to give up through sheer frustration.

Around 60% of new traders die out in the first 3 months - they give up and this is good - think about it - if trading was easy we would all be millionaires. another 20% keep going for a year and then in desperation take risks guaranteed to blow their account which of course it does.


What may suprise you is that of the remaining 20% all of them will last around 3 years - and they will think they are safe in the water - but even at 3 years only a further 5-10% will continue and go on to actually make money consistently.


By the way - they are real figures, not just some ive picked out of my head - so when you get to 3 years in the game dont think its plain sailing from there.


Iv had many people argue with me about these timescales - funny enough none of them have been trading for more that 3 years - if you think you know better then ask on a board for someone who's been trading 5 years and ask them how long it takes to become fully 100% proficient. Sure i guess there will be exceptions to the rle - but i havent met any yet.


Eventually you do begin to come out of this phase. You've probably committed more time and money than you ever thought you would, lost 2 or 3 loaded accounts and all but given up maybe 3 or 4 times but now its in your blood

One day - im a split second moment you will enter stage 3.

Step 3 - The Eureka Moment

Towards the end of stage two you begin to realise that it's not the system that is making the difference. You realise that its actually possible to make money with a simple moving average and nothing else IF you can get your head and money management right You start to read books on the psychology of trading and identify with the characters portrayed in those books and finally comes the eureka moment.

The eureka moment causes a new connection to be made in your brain. You suddenly realise that neither you, nor anyone else can accurately predict what the market will do in the next ten seconds, never mind the next 20 mins.


Because of this revelation you stop taking any notice of what anyone thinks - what this news item will do, and what that event will do to the markets. You become an individual with your own method of trading


You start to work just one system that you mould to your own way of trading, you're starting to get happy and you define your risk threshold.

You start to take every trade that your 'edge' shows has a good probability of winning with. When the trade turns bad you don't get angry or even because you know in your head that as you couldn't possibly predict it it isn't your fault - as soon as you realise that the trade is bad you close it . The next trade or the one after it or the one after that will have higher odds of success because you know your system works.


You stop looking at trading results from a trade-to-trade perspective and start to look at weekly figures knowing that one bad trade does not a poor system make.


You have realised in an instant that the trading game is about one thing - consistency of your 'edge' and your discipline to take all the trades no matter what as you know the probabilities stack in your favour.

You learn about proper money management and leverage - risk of account etc etc - and this time it actually soaks in and you think back to those who advised the same thing a year ago with a smile. You weren't ready then, but you are now. The eureka moment came the moment that you truly accepted that you cannot predict the market.

Step 4 - Conscious Competence

You are making trades whenever your system tells you to. You take losses just as easily as you take wins You now let your winners run to their conclusion fully accepting the risk and knowing that your system makes more money than it looses and when you're on a loser you close it swiftly with little pain to your account

You are now at a point where you break even most of the time - day in day out, you will have weeks where you make 100 pips and weeks where you lose 100 pips - generally you are breaking even and not losing money. You are now conscious of the fact that you are making calls that are generally good and you are getting respect from other traders as you chat the day away. You still have to work at it and think about your trades but as this continues you begin to make more money than you lose consistently.

You'll start the day on a 20 pip win, take a 35 pip loss and have no feelings that you've given those pips back because you know that it will come back again. You will now begin to make consistent pips week in and week out 25 pips one week, 50 the next and so on.

This lasts about 6 months

Step Five - Unconscious Competence

Now we’re cooking - just like driving a car, every day you get in your seat and trade - you do everything now on an unconscious level. You are running on autopilot. You start to pick the really big trades and getting 200 pips in a day doesnt make you any more excited that getting 1 pips.


You see the newbies in the forum shouting 'go dollar go' as if they are urging on a horse to win in the grand national and you see yourself - but many years ago now.

This is trading utopia - you have mastered your emotions and you are now a trader with a rapidly growing account.

You're a star in the trading chat room and people listen to what you say. You recognise yourself in their questions from about two years ago. You pass on your advice but you know most of it is futile because they're teenagers - some of them will get to where you are - some will do it fast and others will be slower - literally dozens and dozens will never get past stage two, but a few will.

Trading is no longer exciting - in fact it's probably boring you to bits - like everything in life when you get good at it or do it for your job - it gets boring - you're doing your job and that's that.


Finally you grow out of the chat rooms and find a few choice people who you converse with about the markets without being influenced at all.


All the time you are honing your methods to extract the maximum profit from the market without increasing risk. Your method of trading doesnt change - it just gets better - you now have what women call 'intuition'

You can now say with your head held high "I'm a currency trader" but to be honest you dont even bother telling anyone - it's a job like any other.


I hope youve enjoyed reading this journey into a traders mind and that hopefully youve identified with some points in here.


Remember that only 5% will actually make it - but the reason for that isnt ability, its staying power and the ability to change your perceptions and paradigms as new information comes available.


The losers are those who wanted to 'get rich quick' but approached the market and within 6 months put on a pair of blinkers so they couldnt see the obvious - a kind of "this is the way i see it and thats that" scenario - refusing to assimilate new information that changes that perception.

Im happy to tell you that the reason i started trading was because of the 'get rich quick' mindset. Just that now i see it as 'get rich slow'

If youre thinking about giving up i have one piece of advice for you ....

Ask yourself the question "how many years would you go to college if you knew for a fact that there was a million dollars a year job at the end of it?

[sharpshoota]

 

...en god illustrasjon på uka som gikk...fullstendig avsporing.

Money management og strategi gikk rett i dass

 

Her må jeg virkelig ta tak for å komme meg på sporet igjen. Mener jeg var på rett spor rundt nyttår...men skulle absolutt vri på ting for å bli enda bedre. ikke lurt. oppgitt og irritert på meg selv nå.

...resultatet...

 

Strategien fremover nå er å komme meg tilbake på rette sporet der jeg var. Trade med trenden og bruke den for å få god Risk/Reward. Det har jo fungert før.